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Results for Saturday 4th of May 2024
Handicapper | Units | Dollars |
Doc's Sports | -3 | $-300.00 |
Robert Ferringo | -9 | $-1015.00 |
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy) | -4 | $-440.00 |
Raphael Esparza (VSI) | 7 | $700.00 |
Tony George | -4 | $-400.00 |
Vernon Croy | -4 | $-400.00 |
Scott Spreitzer | 7 | $700.00 |
Doug Upstone | 2 | $276.00 |
August Young | 4 | $400.00 |
Strike Point Sports | 5 | $635.00 |
Griffin Murphy | 4 | $490.00 |
Saturday 4th of May 2024
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #372 St Louis (-1.5 RL) +120 over Chicago (2:15p.m., Saturday, May 4 MLB.tv) No bet against the White Sox is a bad bet this season. Chicago did not score any runs yesterday and I see a similar situation today.
Robert Ferringo
1-Unit Play. Take #964 Minnesota (-1.5, +125) over Boston (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
1-Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland (-120) over Miami (4 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
2-Unit Play. Take #977 Baltimore (-110) over Cincinnati (6:40 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
John Means is making his way back from injury (again) and this is his first start of the season. His numbers in his rehab starts were dreadful, but I’m chalking that up to him not being totally healthy and really just working on stuff. He threw seven shutout innings in his last start. Also, the Orioles have been very good against left-handed pitching this year (and last year) while the Reds have struggled against southpaws. Baltimore is just the better team here and I like them to rack up another win.
1-Unit Play. Take #979 N.Y. Mets (-110) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
I think the Mets are going to rally today for rookie starter Christian Scott. Veteran teams usually do up their game a bit when a kid is making his first start and that should inject some life into this Mets locker room. The Rays have been struggling and have been strafed by injuries early in the season. They put up 10 runs yesterday but I’m not expecting another outburst today.
Today’s Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Milwaukee at Chicago (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at L.A. Dodgers (9 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Detroit at N.Y. Yankees (1 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
7-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Boston at Minnesota (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
The Twins made it 11 in a row yesterday and right now this lineup has a lot of momentum. They left meat on the bone yesterday too, going just 2-for-10 with runners in scoring position. The Red Sox are going with an opener in this second game. Their bullpen has been OK this year but I think it has overperformed a bit and the team has only had one day off since April 23. Minnesota has been great against left-handed pitching so they should be able to jump on Boston early. Pablo Lopez gets the ball for Minnesota and he has been pretty average this season, giving up three or more runs in four of his last five starts while posting an ERA near 6.00 over the last month. He’s given up five home runs in his last 19 innings of work. The wind is blowing straight out today, which is a boost to the bats, and that should make up for some mild temperatures. Also, if the Red Sox are going to snap Minnesota’s winning streak I don’t see the Twins going down without a fight. That means runs. I can see the Twins getting out early, Boston coming back and taking the lead, and then Minnesota rallying to win this one 6-3 or 7-5. This number should’ve been 8.5 but there is too much value here at 7.5 to pass up.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Seattle at Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
4-Unit Play. #978. Take Over 9 Runs Cincinnati vs. Baltimore (Saturday @ 6:40pm est)
Nice 7*MLB Winner on the Dodgers yesterday and we look to post another win today. Per this game, we like the Over between these squads for a decent public fade. What you have here is the Orioles and Reds only scored 3 runs yesterday and we like the fact the Reds were shutout to bust out here which is why they are favored over the 20 win team in the Orioles. The Orioles are also frustrated for 9 hits in their last contest they only scored 3 runs and you have a Reds team that put up just 2 hits last game and 0 runs. John Means is also making his first start as well and could be in for a tough outing as he is getting his feet wet again and Cincinnati is a tough place to pitch when you are not as sharp. Abbott here comes off a season high in 4 runs in his last contest and could very well bounce-back but I also think that these Orioles are just too good not to have success against a pitcher that had given up 7 walks and 4 homeruns in his two games prior to his last one. Hence, we roll with the Over here as we think the Reds will push the scoring early and the Orioles will have to catch up.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
MLB BASEBALL
7 Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland -125 over Miami (4:05p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Tony George
MLB
5/4/24
4-Unit Play:
#968 Kansas City Royals +100 Over Texas (Saturday, May 4, 2024, 7:10 pm E)
The 17-15 Texas Rangers visit the 20-13 Kansas City Royals in the second game of a three-game series. Michael Wacha and his 1-3 record and 4.24 ERA is on the hill for the Royals, while the Rangers counter with Dane Dunning, 3-2 and 4.13 ERA. Kansas City has gone 8-3 in their last 11 games this new look team is for real. They won game one 7-1 and should pick up another win in game two, as well.
Vernon Croy
4-Unit Play - #951 Milwaukee +110 over Chicago (Saturday, May 4, 2024, 2:20 pm ET)
Take Milwaukee on the Moneyline as my top MLB pick for Saturday afternoon. This pick falls into one my top MLB systems and I really like this pitching matchup for Milwaukee on the road here today. Milwaukee has averaged 5.6 runs per game on the road this season hitting .275 as a team with an on-base percentage of .336 and Milwaukee’s opponents have hit just .225 against them on the road this season averaging 3.4 runs per game against them. Milwaukee’s bullpen has also been solid on the road this season with an ERA of 2.05 and this is a Chicago team that has averaged just 2.4 runs per game over their last 7 games hitting .181 as a team with an on-base percentage of .247. Play Milwaukee Moneyline as we move to 23-13 on the MLB season.
Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play: Take 960 Dodgers -0.5, -125 (Run Line, F5 Inn) over Braves (9:10 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Nice starting pitching advantage in this one. Not much needs to be said about Tyler Glasnow. His team is 5-1 in the first five innings of his last six starts, out-scoring their opponents 29 to 2 in the first five wins. That’s 29 runs scored in 25 innings. Atlanta is starting Bryce Elder, who walks a lot of batters. Elder is averaging over 4 walks per 9 IP in his last 13 outings, including 4 walks and just 2 strikeouts in his most recent start against Cleveland. The Dodger bats are 5th in batting average at home against righties and 2nd in MLB in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. I’m backing the Dodgers in the first five innings. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
5-Unit Play: Take 976 A’s -120 over Marlins (4:07 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Oakland has won five in a row while Miami continues their tough campaign. I’m betting the A’s win their 6th straight. Trevor Rogers starts for Miami and he’s finding the going tough with his team losing all six of his outings. Paul Blackburn starts for Oakland and he’s pitched well at home this season and last. His team is 7-0 when he starts against NL teams with a batting average of .245 or worse, and they held those teams to an average of 1.9 rpg. The Oakland bullpen has been outstanding in 2024 with the second best ERA in MLB, while the Marlins’ relievers are in the bottom-third of the league. I’m backing the A’s on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Doug Upstone
2 Unit Parlay Play. Take #954 Pittsburgh -200 over Colorado (4:05 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4) AND Take #956 Philadelphia -170 over San Francisco (6:05 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)
The Pirates fit a system that is 34-1 and the Phillies fit a system that is 42-10.
This two-unit parlay should pay out about 2.76 units if correct and reduces risk compared to separate wagers.
2 Unit Play. Take #968 Kansas City +100 over Texas (7:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)
Kansas City whipped Texas 7-1 in the series opener and IMO can make it 2-0. The Royals are 13-5 at home and are 10-1 after a home victory. K.C. starter Michael Wacha is 21-5 in home games the last three seasons (Team's Record) and 10-1 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in that same period. (Team's Record) The clincher; Play On a team like the Royals outscoring opponents by one or more runs a game on the season, after allowing one run or less in three straight games. This situation is 30-4 since 2020.
2 Unit Play. Take #966 Cleveland -135 over L.A. Angels (6:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)
The Guardians were shutout Friday, but against LH starters they are 6-1, averaging 6.1 RPG, Cleveland is also 30-10 after two or more consecutive losses and 16-5 after having lost four of their last five games.
August Young
[MLB] [4-Unit] (962) New York Yankees -160 over Detroit Tigers (1:05PM EST) It's not often we see a team with a .600 win percentage or better have offensive struggles like we've seen from the Yankees the previous 5 games. However, in database history when a team with a .600 record or better hasn’t' scored more than 2 runs in five-straight games; they are winning at a 67.7% clip for a +18.6% ROI. In fact; the last seven times it has happened, we've seen the team average more than 7 runs per game. This is still a Yankees team that rank 7th in wOBA, compared to the Tigers who rank 24th.
Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take #956 Philadelphia (-1.5, +125) over San Francisco (6:05 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Philadelphia has won their last three games and in doing so they have overtaken first place in the National League East, and I think they are going to add another win to their record today. Ranger Suarez has gotten off to an unbelievable start to his season as he has won his last five starts, and he has allowed just 6 earned runs over his six starts. Suarez has benefitted from some good run support as his offense has scored at least 5 runs in each of his starts and I think they can keep that going in this matchup. Keaton Winn has been in a nice groove recently winning his last three starts allowing only one run in each of those. However, I think the Phillies offense is going to provide more problems than his previous three opponents (PIT, MIA, NYM) and he will not be as fortunate.
2-Unit Play. Take #962 New York (AL) (-1.5, +130) over Detroit (1:05 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
The Yankees offense has been scuffling a little bit scoring just 2 runs in each of their last 5 games, but following a 9th inning rally to come back and win last night’s game I think they are going to break out of their funk. It won’t be easy as Casey Mize has pitched well for Detroit with the Tigers winning all 5 games he has started, but Mize has picked up just one win as he has not went deep in those contests. Clarke Schmidt will take the ball for New York and he suffered his first loss his last time out to the Orioles, but it was hardly his fault. Schmidt allowed 1 run to Baltimore and he has allowed just one run in three of his last four starts which I think he is capable of doing to Detroit’s offense that has not been consistent this season.
Best of Luck – Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday May 4th 2024-
7 Unit Play Take #979 New York Mets -105 over Tampa Bay (7:15pm est):
The New York Mets hand the baseball here to rookie Christian Scott who makes his MLB debut in this one tonight. Scott has become a dominant pitcher over the past two years in the minor leagues. The 24 year-old right-hander has been so impressive that he's actually posted the #1 strikeout minus walk percentage at all levels of minor league baseball the past two years combined (100+ innings pitched minimum). The one knock on Scott is that he tends to give up his share of homeruns but playing this game tonight in pitcher friendly Tampa Bay should help him out.
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this contest with a 15-18 record overall on the year but they've actually been much worse than that as they're -41 in run differential to start the 2024 MLB season. What makes that stat even more alarming is the fact the Rays have played the 2nd easiest schedule in baseball thus far. Zack Littell will get the start for the Rays tonight in this one. Littell has made six starts so far this year for Tampa Bay with all six being against offenses ranked in the bottom half of the league currently in wRC+ while this New York Mets offense that he faces today is actually the best one that he's faced this season.
Take the New York Mets to win this game.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take Los Angeles (-1.5, +115) Over Atlanta. (9:10p.m, Saturday, May 4th)
Los Angeles comes into this game 21-13 on the season, 8-2 in their last 10 games, and coming off a 4-3 win over Atlanta last night. Atlanta is now 20-10 on the season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and coming off a loss. Los Angeles will send ace pitcher Tyler Glasnow on the mound. Glasnow is 5-1 on the season, with 43 innings pitched, a 2.72 ERA, 53 strikeouts, and only 12 walks. This guy is absolutely outstanding, and he is a strikeout machine. Bryce Elder will get the start for Atlanta. Elder has great numbers, although he looks like he's ready to get shelled. In Elder’s last outing, he pitched just 5 innings, allowing 4 hits, 2 runs, and 4 walks. He was sloppy and managed to sneak away with a win. In this fashion, Los Angeles dominates the pitching scene. Los Angeles is also 15-6 during night games this season, and the team is hitting an incredible 287. I expect them to knock Elder out of the game early and gain a massive lead.
Take Los Angeles (-1.5, +115) Over Atlanta.
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take Chicago White Sox (1st 5 innings, +135) Over St. Louis. (2:15p.m, Saturday, May 4th)
Chicago comes into this game 6-26 on the season, 3-7 in their last 10 games, and now dropping 4 consecutive matchups. St. Louis is 15-17 on the season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, cleaning the Sox up 3-0 yesterday. Former Chicago White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn will get the start for St. Louis. Lynn is 1-0 on the season, with 30 innings pitched and a 2.64 ERA. Typically, when facing your former team, you get shelled. They are comfortable at the plate and know your motion and stuff. Erik Fedde will get the start for Chicago, and he has been nothing less than outstanding this season. Fedde is 2-0, with 34 innings pitched, a 2.60 ERA, 39 strikeouts, and just 9 walks. Given Fedde's injury, Chicago's shutout yesterday, and Lance Lynn's recent recovery, I find the Chicago White Sox to be a great value.
Take the Chicago White Sox (1st 5 innings, +135) Over St. Louis.
Griffin Murphy
Expert MLB Picks History:
Doc's Sports
3 Unit Play. Take #372 St Louis (-1.5 RL) +120 over Chicago (2:15p.m., Saturday, May 4 MLB.tv) No bet against the White Sox is a bad bet this season. Chicago did not score any runs yesterday and I see a similar situation today.Robert Ferringo
1-Unit Play. Take #964 Minnesota (-1.5, +125) over Boston (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)1-Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland (-120) over Miami (4 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
2-Unit Play. Take #977 Baltimore (-110) over Cincinnati (6:40 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
John Means is making his way back from injury (again) and this is his first start of the season. His numbers in his rehab starts were dreadful, but I’m chalking that up to him not being totally healthy and really just working on stuff. He threw seven shutout innings in his last start. Also, the Orioles have been very good against left-handed pitching this year (and last year) while the Reds have struggled against southpaws. Baltimore is just the better team here and I like them to rack up another win.
1-Unit Play. Take #979 N.Y. Mets (-110) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
I think the Mets are going to rally today for rookie starter Christian Scott. Veteran teams usually do up their game a bit when a kid is making his first start and that should inject some life into this Mets locker room. The Rays have been struggling and have been strafed by injuries early in the season. They put up 10 runs yesterday but I’m not expecting another outburst today.
Today’s Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Milwaukee at Chicago (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at L.A. Dodgers (9 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Detroit at N.Y. Yankees (1 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
7-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Boston at Minnesota (2 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
The Twins made it 11 in a row yesterday and right now this lineup has a lot of momentum. They left meat on the bone yesterday too, going just 2-for-10 with runners in scoring position. The Red Sox are going with an opener in this second game. Their bullpen has been OK this year but I think it has overperformed a bit and the team has only had one day off since April 23. Minnesota has been great against left-handed pitching so they should be able to jump on Boston early. Pablo Lopez gets the ball for Minnesota and he has been pretty average this season, giving up three or more runs in four of his last five starts while posting an ERA near 6.00 over the last month. He’s given up five home runs in his last 19 innings of work. The wind is blowing straight out today, which is a boost to the bats, and that should make up for some mild temperatures. Also, if the Red Sox are going to snap Minnesota’s winning streak I don’t see the Twins going down without a fight. That means runs. I can see the Twins getting out early, Boston coming back and taking the lead, and then Minnesota rallying to win this one 6-3 or 7-5. This number should’ve been 8.5 but there is too much value here at 7.5 to pass up.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Seattle at Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
4-Unit Play. #978. Take Over 9 Runs Cincinnati vs. Baltimore (Saturday @ 6:40pm est)Nice 7*MLB Winner on the Dodgers yesterday and we look to post another win today. Per this game, we like the Over between these squads for a decent public fade. What you have here is the Orioles and Reds only scored 3 runs yesterday and we like the fact the Reds were shutout to bust out here which is why they are favored over the 20 win team in the Orioles. The Orioles are also frustrated for 9 hits in their last contest they only scored 3 runs and you have a Reds team that put up just 2 hits last game and 0 runs. John Means is also making his first start as well and could be in for a tough outing as he is getting his feet wet again and Cincinnati is a tough place to pitch when you are not as sharp. Abbott here comes off a season high in 4 runs in his last contest and could very well bounce-back but I also think that these Orioles are just too good not to have success against a pitcher that had given up 7 walks and 4 homeruns in his two games prior to his last one. Hence, we roll with the Over here as we think the Reds will push the scoring early and the Orioles will have to catch up.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
MLB BASEBALL7 Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland -125 over Miami (4:05p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Tony George
MLB5/4/24
4-Unit Play:
#968 Kansas City Royals +100 Over Texas (Saturday, May 4, 2024, 7:10 pm E)
The 17-15 Texas Rangers visit the 20-13 Kansas City Royals in the second game of a three-game series. Michael Wacha and his 1-3 record and 4.24 ERA is on the hill for the Royals, while the Rangers counter with Dane Dunning, 3-2 and 4.13 ERA. Kansas City has gone 8-3 in their last 11 games this new look team is for real. They won game one 7-1 and should pick up another win in game two, as well.
Vernon Croy
4-Unit Play - #951 Milwaukee +110 over Chicago (Saturday, May 4, 2024, 2:20 pm ET)Take Milwaukee on the Moneyline as my top MLB pick for Saturday afternoon. This pick falls into one my top MLB systems and I really like this pitching matchup for Milwaukee on the road here today. Milwaukee has averaged 5.6 runs per game on the road this season hitting .275 as a team with an on-base percentage of .336 and Milwaukee’s opponents have hit just .225 against them on the road this season averaging 3.4 runs per game against them. Milwaukee’s bullpen has also been solid on the road this season with an ERA of 2.05 and this is a Chicago team that has averaged just 2.4 runs per game over their last 7 games hitting .181 as a team with an on-base percentage of .247. Play Milwaukee Moneyline as we move to 23-13 on the MLB season.
Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play: Take 960 Dodgers -0.5, -125 (Run Line, F5 Inn) over Braves (9:10 p.m., Saturday, May 4)Nice starting pitching advantage in this one. Not much needs to be said about Tyler Glasnow. His team is 5-1 in the first five innings of his last six starts, out-scoring their opponents 29 to 2 in the first five wins. That’s 29 runs scored in 25 innings. Atlanta is starting Bryce Elder, who walks a lot of batters. Elder is averaging over 4 walks per 9 IP in his last 13 outings, including 4 walks and just 2 strikeouts in his most recent start against Cleveland. The Dodger bats are 5th in batting average at home against righties and 2nd in MLB in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. I’m backing the Dodgers in the first five innings. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
5-Unit Play: Take 976 A’s -120 over Marlins (4:07 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
Oakland has won five in a row while Miami continues their tough campaign. I’m betting the A’s win their 6th straight. Trevor Rogers starts for Miami and he’s finding the going tough with his team losing all six of his outings. Paul Blackburn starts for Oakland and he’s pitched well at home this season and last. His team is 7-0 when he starts against NL teams with a batting average of .245 or worse, and they held those teams to an average of 1.9 rpg. The Oakland bullpen has been outstanding in 2024 with the second best ERA in MLB, while the Marlins’ relievers are in the bottom-third of the league. I’m backing the A’s on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Doug Upstone
2 Unit Parlay Play. Take #954 Pittsburgh -200 over Colorado (4:05 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4) AND Take #956 Philadelphia -170 over San Francisco (6:05 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)The Pirates fit a system that is 34-1 and the Phillies fit a system that is 42-10.
This two-unit parlay should pay out about 2.76 units if correct and reduces risk compared to separate wagers.
2 Unit Play. Take #968 Kansas City +100 over Texas (7:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)
Kansas City whipped Texas 7-1 in the series opener and IMO can make it 2-0. The Royals are 13-5 at home and are 10-1 after a home victory. K.C. starter Michael Wacha is 21-5 in home games the last three seasons (Team's Record) and 10-1 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in that same period. (Team's Record) The clincher; Play On a team like the Royals outscoring opponents by one or more runs a game on the season, after allowing one run or less in three straight games. This situation is 30-4 since 2020.
2 Unit Play. Take #966 Cleveland -135 over L.A. Angels (6:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, May 4)
The Guardians were shutout Friday, but against LH starters they are 6-1, averaging 6.1 RPG, Cleveland is also 30-10 after two or more consecutive losses and 16-5 after having lost four of their last five games.
August Young
[MLB] [4-Unit] (962) New York Yankees -160 over Detroit Tigers (1:05PM EST) It's not often we see a team with a .600 win percentage or better have offensive struggles like we've seen from the Yankees the previous 5 games. However, in database history when a team with a .600 record or better hasn’t' scored more than 2 runs in five-straight games; they are winning at a 67.7% clip for a +18.6% ROI. In fact; the last seven times it has happened, we've seen the team average more than 7 runs per game. This is still a Yankees team that rank 7th in wOBA, compared to the Tigers who rank 24th.Strike Point Sports
3-Unit Play. Take #956 Philadelphia (-1.5, +125) over San Francisco (6:05 p.m., Saturday, May 4)Philadelphia has won their last three games and in doing so they have overtaken first place in the National League East, and I think they are going to add another win to their record today. Ranger Suarez has gotten off to an unbelievable start to his season as he has won his last five starts, and he has allowed just 6 earned runs over his six starts. Suarez has benefitted from some good run support as his offense has scored at least 5 runs in each of his starts and I think they can keep that going in this matchup. Keaton Winn has been in a nice groove recently winning his last three starts allowing only one run in each of those. However, I think the Phillies offense is going to provide more problems than his previous three opponents (PIT, MIA, NYM) and he will not be as fortunate.
2-Unit Play. Take #962 New York (AL) (-1.5, +130) over Detroit (1:05 p.m., Saturday, May 4)
The Yankees offense has been scuffling a little bit scoring just 2 runs in each of their last 5 games, but following a 9th inning rally to come back and win last night’s game I think they are going to break out of their funk. It won’t be easy as Casey Mize has pitched well for Detroit with the Tigers winning all 5 games he has started, but Mize has picked up just one win as he has not went deep in those contests. Clarke Schmidt will take the ball for New York and he suffered his first loss his last time out to the Orioles, but it was hardly his fault. Schmidt allowed 1 run to Baltimore and he has allowed just one run in three of his last four starts which I think he is capable of doing to Detroit’s offense that has not been consistent this season.
Best of Luck – Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
Saturday May 4th 2024-7 Unit Play Take #979 New York Mets -105 over Tampa Bay (7:15pm est):
The New York Mets hand the baseball here to rookie Christian Scott who makes his MLB debut in this one tonight. Scott has become a dominant pitcher over the past two years in the minor leagues. The 24 year-old right-hander has been so impressive that he's actually posted the #1 strikeout minus walk percentage at all levels of minor league baseball the past two years combined (100+ innings pitched minimum). The one knock on Scott is that he tends to give up his share of homeruns but playing this game tonight in pitcher friendly Tampa Bay should help him out.
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this contest with a 15-18 record overall on the year but they've actually been much worse than that as they're -41 in run differential to start the 2024 MLB season. What makes that stat even more alarming is the fact the Rays have played the 2nd easiest schedule in baseball thus far. Zack Littell will get the start for the Rays tonight in this one. Littell has made six starts so far this year for Tampa Bay with all six being against offenses ranked in the bottom half of the league currently in wRC+ while this New York Mets offense that he faces today is actually the best one that he's faced this season.
Take the New York Mets to win this game.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Griffin Murphy
6 Unit Play - Take Los Angeles (-1.5, +115) Over Atlanta. (9:10p.m, Saturday, May 4th)Los Angeles comes into this game 21-13 on the season, 8-2 in their last 10 games, and coming off a 4-3 win over Atlanta last night. Atlanta is now 20-10 on the season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and coming off a loss. Los Angeles will send ace pitcher Tyler Glasnow on the mound. Glasnow is 5-1 on the season, with 43 innings pitched, a 2.72 ERA, 53 strikeouts, and only 12 walks. This guy is absolutely outstanding, and he is a strikeout machine. Bryce Elder will get the start for Atlanta. Elder has great numbers, although he looks like he's ready to get shelled. In Elder’s last outing, he pitched just 5 innings, allowing 4 hits, 2 runs, and 4 walks. He was sloppy and managed to sneak away with a win. In this fashion, Los Angeles dominates the pitching scene. Los Angeles is also 15-6 during night games this season, and the team is hitting an incredible 287. I expect them to knock Elder out of the game early and gain a massive lead.
Take Los Angeles (-1.5, +115) Over Atlanta.
Griffin Murphy
2 Unit Play - Take Chicago White Sox (1st 5 innings, +135) Over St. Louis. (2:15p.m, Saturday, May 4th)
Chicago comes into this game 6-26 on the season, 3-7 in their last 10 games, and now dropping 4 consecutive matchups. St. Louis is 15-17 on the season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, cleaning the Sox up 3-0 yesterday. Former Chicago White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn will get the start for St. Louis. Lynn is 1-0 on the season, with 30 innings pitched and a 2.64 ERA. Typically, when facing your former team, you get shelled. They are comfortable at the plate and know your motion and stuff. Erik Fedde will get the start for Chicago, and he has been nothing less than outstanding this season. Fedde is 2-0, with 34 innings pitched, a 2.60 ERA, 39 strikeouts, and just 9 walks. Given Fedde's injury, Chicago's shutout yesterday, and Lance Lynn's recent recovery, I find the Chicago White Sox to be a great value.
Take the Chicago White Sox (1st 5 innings, +135) Over St. Louis.
Griffin Murphy
Expert MLB Picks History:
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